Psychology & Behavior
Dunning-Kruger Effect
People with low ability in a domain consistently overestimate their competence, while experts tend to underestimate theirs.
Psychology & Behavior
People with low ability in a domain consistently overestimate their competence, while experts tend to underestimate theirs.
Science & Systems
The Swiss Cheese Model explains how accidents happen when holes in multiple safety barriers align, allowing hazards to slip through.
Psychology & Behavior
The halo effect is our tendency to let one positive trait overshadow and influence our judgment of all other traits.
Psychology & Behavior
Cognitive dissonance is the uncomfortable mental tension you feel when holding contradictory beliefs, values, or attitudes simultaneously.
Psychology & Behavior
The more people who witness an emergency, the less likely any individual is to help.
Psychology & Behavior
Maslow's Hierarchy suggests humans have five levels of needs that must be satisfied in order, from basic survival to self-fulfillment.
Economics & Decision-Making
Nash Equilibrium is the point in any strategic situation where no player can improve their outcome by unilaterally changing their strategy.
The butterfly effect describes how tiny initial changes in complex systems can lead to dramatically different outcomes.
Black Swan Theory explains how rare, unpredictable events with massive impact shape our world far more than we realize.
The Streisand Effect describes how attempts to suppress or hide information often backfire, drawing far more attention to it than it would have received otherwise.
A moral panic occurs when society becomes disproportionately concerned about a perceived threat, often leading to hasty policy changes and scapegoating.
The Why Behind the World
The Pareto Principle states that roughly 80% of effects come from 20% of causes.
Loss aversion is our tendency to feel the pain of losing something roughly twice as intensely as the pleasure of gaining the same thing.
The Prisoner's Dilemma shows how two rational people might not cooperate even when it's in their mutual interest to do so.
Opportunity cost is the value of the best alternative you give up when making a choice.
The Innovator's Dilemma explains why successful companies often fail not despite doing everything right, but because of it.
In hierarchical organizations, employees tend to be promoted until they reach a position where they can no longer perform competently.
Network effects occur when a product or service becomes more valuable as more people use it.
Goodhart's Law explains why metrics lose their usefulness the moment you start optimizing for them directly.
First-mover advantage is the competitive edge companies gain by being the first to enter a new market or introduce a new product category.
The butterfly effect describes how tiny initial changes in complex systems can lead to dramatically different outcomes.
Black Swan Theory explains how rare, unpredictable events with massive impact shape our world far more than we realize.
Occam's Razor is the principle that the simplest explanation that fits the facts is usually the correct one.