Cape Verde do it again and Lamine Yamal spurs on Spain – World Cup Daily
theguardian.com
World Cup qualifying is revealing how underdog nations and teenage prodigies are rewriting expectations — a perfect lens for hot-hand fallacy and talent emergence theory.
Hot-Hand FallacyTalent Emergence TheoryUnderdog EffectClutch Performance Theory

Theory Briefing
- Cape Verde's repeated upsets in qualifying challenge the hot-hand fallacy by showing consistent overperformance isn't luck.
- Lamine Yamal's starring role for Spain illustrates talent emergence theory — elite ability surfacing at an unusually young age.
- Germany's dramatic late win via Deniz Undav's double highlights how tournament momentum can hinge on individual clutch performance.