Donald Trump's evangelical base may be cracking - Yahoo
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When a coalition built on identity and moral authority starts fracturing, realignment theory and the psychology of group loyalty explain exactly why cracks appear — and why they're so hard to stop.
Political Realignment TheorySocial Identity TheoryCoalition PoliticsDealignment
Theory Briefing
- New polling shows Trump's evangelical base softening ahead of the 2026 midterms, a key signal in political realignment theory.
- Evangelical voters historically anchor Republican coalitions through shared moral identity, making any erosion disproportionately damaging to party stability.
- Democrats are banking on the fracture to flip the House, testing whether symbolic group loyalty can outlast policy disappointment.