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Final victims recovered in Maldives cave diving tragedy - MSN

msn.com

This tragedy in a 60-metre Maldives cave reveals how Risk Homeostasis and the Dunning-Kruger Effect can turn expert confidence into fatal miscalculation in extreme environments.

Risk HomeostasisDunning-Kruger EffectNormalcy BiasDecision-Making Under Uncertainty

Theory Briefing

  • Five Italians and a Maldivian rescue diver died in a 60-metre cave dive — the deadliest diving incident in Maldives history.
  • Risk Homeostasis theory suggests divers may unconsciously take greater dangers as gear and training improve, eroding the safety margin.
  • The deaths of trained rescue divers during recovery operations show how cascading risk can trap even experts in overconfidence spirals.