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Mitch McConnell's Health Fuels Longshot Theory He Could Be Replaced By Thomas Massie

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McConnell's declining health has some right-wing figures floating a longshot play: use it to land a primary-ousted Thomas Massie in the Senate.

Political Opportunity TheoryElite Replacement TheoryPrincipal-Agent ProblemGame Theory

Theory Briefing

  • Thomas Massie lost his May primary to a Trump-backed challenger, yet some right-wing figures see McConnell's health as a path back for him.
  • The theory hinges on a Senate vacancy opening — a rare, contingent chain of events that makes the scenario a longshot by most accounts.
  • Massie's potential replacement would require Kentucky's governor to act, adding a political layer that complicates the already unlikely scenario.