Peaking: A Theory of Rapid Transition - RMI
rmi.org
RMI's "Peaking" series maps how fossil fuel demand collapses faster than anyone expects — and the theory behind rapid energy transitions could rewrite how we plan for climate change.
Tipping Point TheoryDiffusion of InnovationsEnergy Transition TheoryS-Curve Adoption
Theory Briefing
- RMI's Peaking Series tracks historical fossil fuel demand peaks across countries, revealing patterns of surprisingly swift decline.
- The theory proposes that once demand peaks, a self-reinforcing cascade of economic and behavioral shifts accelerates the transition away from fossil fuels.
- Understanding past peaks — like coal in the UK or oil in Europe — offers a predictive framework for when and how current fossil fuel markets will collapse.