Turkiye knocked out of World Cup 2026 after 1-0 defeat to 10-man Paraguay - Al Jazeera
aljazeera.com
Turkey's elimination by ten-man Paraguay is a textbook upset that exposes how numerical advantage can breed complacency — a classic case of the favourite's paradox in competitive sport.
Underdog EffectOverconfidence BiasCompetitive Balance Theory

Theory Briefing
- Paraguay, reduced to ten men, still defeated Türkiye 1-0 to knock them out of World Cup 2026 qualifying.
- Playing against a numerical disadvantage often triggers a defensive solidarity effect, making the underdog paradoxically harder to beat.
- Türkiye's elimination illustrates how favourites can fall victim to overconfidence bias when facing a depleted opponent.