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Why China and India are so bad at football - AFR

afr.com

China and India together hold 3 billion people yet produce almost no world-class footballers — so why does population size barely predict football success?

Talent Development TheoryRelative Age EffectComparative AdvantageInstitutional Economics
Why China and India are so bad at football - AFR

Theory Briefing

  • A massive population should guarantee a deep talent pool, yet neither China nor India features in global football's elite despite their sheer size.
  • Football success appears tied to infrastructure, youth development systems, and culture — factors that dwarf raw headcount as predictors.
  • Countries far smaller than China or India consistently dominate world football, suggesting diminishing returns on population alone.
  • The puzzle challenges the intuitive idea that more people automatically means more elite athletes in any given sport.